The moral ambiguity of Vietnam

Today I would like to discuss a topic related to the Vietnam War. Specifically, I would like to focus on the Viet Cong, the unorganized bands of North Vietnamese civilians who were the American troops’ fiercest enemy for the majority of the war. The VC gained a reputation for their cunning guerilla tactics and for the brutal atrocities they committed against South Vietnamese civilians. Ever since, most Americans consider the VC an object of contempt and hatred. The North Vietnamese, on the other hand, are grateful for the VC’s actions, which they believe to be valiant and just.

I would like to pose the following question: Speaking from a purely neutral perspective, how can we assess the VC? Are they heroes and martyrs, or are they brutal murderers who deserve only contempt?

Unfortunately, I believe that it is almost impossible to answer this question because of the problem of perspective. To Americans, the VC should be considered evil because they committed heinous war crimes against civilians and brutally murdered American soldiers with barbaric booby traps. To the North Vietnamese and communist Chinese, the VC are heroes because they did everything in their power to defend their homeland from foreign invaders. They justify the brutality by stating that it was necessary, which is certainly true—the VC recognized that the Americans were far superior militarily, so they saw the need to wear down the American resolve.

This issue of perspective is more permeating than one might think. For more examples, look at American history. During the American Revolution, American soldiers broke the previously established rules of war and did what was necessary to repel the British, who are clearly depicted as the villain of the whole affair. The image of the “minuteman” became glorified in American culture ever since. But how is this any different from the VC doing what is necessary to repel the foreign invader that was the United States? How is the image of a Viet Cong soldier—a rice farmer who, when necessary, will defend his homeland, different from the glorified minuteman? Next, look at the American Civil War. One of the events that helped to solidify the North’s victory was “Sherman’s March to the Sea,” in which Union troops burned Georgia to the ground to destroy the South’s economy. This, surely, is just as much of an atrocity as those the VC committed—but in America Sherman’s March is glorified, not mourned.

I suspect that Vietnamese history—and the history of every other country or ethnic group—embellishes details in similar ways. Vietnamese culture is based around their geography, which lends itself to frequent invasion. The Vietnamese have a spirit of endurance, which has managed to triumph over all of the other nations that have attempted to conquer it. Thus, the Viet Cong are undoubtedly seen as heroes, as they simply carried on the tradition of resisting foreign invaders.

This issue of perspective makes it extremely difficult if not impossible to truly assess the Viet Cong. As the Greek poet Aeschylus put it: “In war, truth is the first casualty.” This moral ambiguity is probably part of the reason why most Americans are averse to looking back at this period in history. Americans do not like to see themselves as the villains in history, but the Vietnam War puts us in exactly that position. Sadly, it is this war on truth that perpetuates war—if we are ever going to outgrow armed conflict, we must first outgrow our obsession with embellishing it.   

Name that viewpoint

Today I am going to do something I hope you will find interesting. The lecture that follows is written from a particular philosophical/political viewpoint, but I do not mention the name of this viewpoint anywhere in the lecture. It is your task to guess what position I am espousing. Here’s a hint: I do not actually endorse this view, it is just for the purposes of today’s game. Feel free to leave your guesses on the comments page. Here goes:

Look at society today. The world is riddled with crime, corruption, and immorality. The root of these problems come from a single source: the systems of government and morality that watch over us. 

First, let us look at one of the most important problems in today's world, crime. With each passing day, more and more children drop out of schools to become career criminals. More and more men resort to animalistic criminal ways, simply because they do not know any better. The reason is not a failure of our educational systems, but a moral failing of our government in general. The reason is simple: man has no moral instinct. Human beings have no inherent knowledge of what is good or evil; the purpose of the state is to teach proper morals to society. But today's methods, proposed by misguided do-gooders, are wholly incapable of doing so. Why? Because of the way human beings learn. Today, child criminals are only scolded, never punished, and adult criminals are given light sentences in all-expenses-paid, state-sponsored facilities where they can learn from other criminals. These methods attempt to appeal to people's "better natures"--which is foolish because they have none. Instead, we should abandon our hopeless attempt to shy away from "cruel and unusual punishment" in order to stick with what works. 

What these criminals--and society as a whole--do not remember is that the basis of all morality is duty. Today, society drones on and on about our "rights" while forgetting to tell us about duty. The results are predictable, because human beings have no natural rights of any nature. Look at the three famously proclaimed in our Declaration of Independence, life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. Life: what right to life does a man have who is drowning in the ocean? The sea will not harken to his cries. What right to life do two men have if they are stranded on an island, with only the other man as food? Which man's right in "unalienable?" Liberty: The men who signed this document knew that liberty was not a "right," since in doing so they pledged to buy liberty with their lives.  The pursuit of happiness: this is unalienable, though it is not a right: it is simply the universal human condition. But society reminds us of it nonetheless. This is the soft spot that our nation suffers because of: society--and the state--does not remind us of our duty, but of our imaginary rights. No nation, so constituted, can possibly endure. Instead, the state must cultivate our moral sense, so that we may live in harmony and prosperity. 

And what is this ideal moral sense? It is an elaboration of the instinct to survive; all moral rules are derived from this key instinct of human nature. Anyone who attempts to deny this basic principle is destroyed sooner or later--this is the proof of its validity. But moral rules are more simple than just this blind instinct; the survival of the individual is in fact quote low on the moral scale. Higher up on the moral ladder are concepts such as duty to family, duty to one's nation, and duty to the human race. It is this theory of morals that is absent from today's society, and for this reason problems such as crime and corruption exist. 

Lastly, societies today are at fault when they scorn the military. They accuse leaders of causing unnecessary wars, bashing the army for being a "functionless organ" in today's world. What they forget is that wars are not caused by politicians, religions, or cultural differences--these are simply secondary factors. The truth is this: all wars are caused by population pressure . When two societies meet and here is only room for one, war is the natural and moral course of action. But this does not meet that we should implement birth control to prevent war--remember that societies who stop expanding will be wiped out by those who don't. So when one nation balances its population and declares it will never study war anymore, pretty soon (about next Wednesday) it gets crushed by a society that realizes that such a mentality is wishful thinking. The military performs a necessary and noble duty in defending the society it represents. Though civilians scorn military people, accusing them of being violent and barbaric, soldiers possess an important quality that many of these civilians lack: civic virtue. Each member of the military has shown that he willing to sacrifice his life for society, which is the noblest virtue a person can ever achieve.   

On the "inevitable singularity"

Unfortunately I do not have much time to write this month, as I am quite busy with other things. Today, though, I have an essay I would like to share: 

A recurrent theme in modern literature and philosophy is concern about the effects of technology on our humanity, a concern that has existed since the rate at which technology increases became too rapid to contemplate. Wallace Stegner expresses this concern in his essay “The Wilderness Idea,” in which he says that without another frontier humankind will be committed to a world defined and controlled by technology. Stegner is quite correct in stating that the concept of the frontier is behind us, and that technology will ultimately determine our way of life. Technological increase has been proven to be exponential and is inherently anti-individualistic, and technology naturally breeds dependence. Furthermore, the only frontier remaining is one that destroys individuality rather than promoting a self-sufficient pioneer lifestyle.

As any scientist will confirm, technology increases at a torrent pace and will only increase faster as time goes on. This has been proven in almost all fields of science, and most intellectuals regard the “technological singularity” as an inevitable conclusion. For example, in computer science, a theory known as Moore’s Law holds that scientists will be able to double a microchip’s computing power every two years until computers are capable of performing any calculation infinitely quickly. This inevitable increase helps to prove Stenger’s thesis, as it signifies that technology is impossible to supplant or remove from society. 

More importantly, technology naturally breeds dependence. Consider all of the major industries that define people’s lifestyles in today’s world: agriculture, transportation, and consumer goods. All of these industries are highly dependent on technology and will continue to utilize new technology as it is invented and it is completely inconceivable that any of these industries will abandon the technology on which they are based. This principle, combined with the fact that technology will continue to increase, yield only one conclusion: technology is and always will be a part of our lifestyles and society, proving that Stenger’s is correct in stating that a “Brave New World” scenario is unavoidable.

Stegner’s main point is that without a frontier or wilderness, mankind is committed to this dependence on technology. Stegner is quite correct in this assertion—the only frontier open to mankind is, as science fiction tells, us, outer space. However, this is not true wilderness in the sense that Stegner would like it to be—rather than promoting individualism as previous frontiers have been, space exploration encourages federalism and dependence on technology. Since sophisticated equipment is required for space exploration, the common man is no longer able to become a self-sufficient pioneer. Instead, only strong, central governments have the ability to perform the necessary research and build the equipment needed for space travel. Thus, no “wilderness” can save us from our inevitable fate—we are indeed committed to a society defined by our technology. However, Stegner is far too pessimistic about his conclusion—he forgets that technology has the capacity to meet all of our needs, destroying our individuality and self-sufficiency but creating a world without hardship. 

Pandemic time?

Tomorrow I will return to the Bush lexicon—today I have a more pressing issue to discuss: swine flu. Until a few days ago, the term was virtually unheard of, but now the threat of a global swine flu pandemic is all over the media. There are a few key questions about the possibility of a pandemic that I would like to address today.

First, what are the chances of swine flu becoming a global pandemic? The answer depends on two factors: how well we can contain the virus, and how contagious it is. It is already obvious how quickly disease can spread as a result of air travel—cases of swine flu have already been confirmed in the US, EU, and New Zealand. However, if hospitals follow adequate sanitation procedures, it is possible to prevent the disease from spreading to everyone. As far as the contagiousness of the virus goes, I believe we will just have to wait and find out—it will probably take a week at least for scientists to analyze the virus. But what is the bottom line? Are we headed for a pandemic? I believe the answer may be yes. We have already seen cases of swine flu all over the world, and there are undoubtedly more people infected than meets the eye.

Already several countries are attempting to close their doors to prevent the spread of this disease, such as Japan, China, Malaysia, and Indonesia, who have banned pork imports from Mexico and the US. Other countries will probably begin following in their footsteps, cutting off air travel to the Western Hemisphere. However, I believe that these efforts are mostly futile—in today’s world, it is almost impossible to completely isolate any one country from the rest of the world. Without a doubt, the swine flu will eventually enter these nations if it hasn’t already—between air, land, and sea travel, it is far to impractical to keep everyone out of a country.

Next—and perhaps most important—are we ready? Thankfully, I think the answer is “yes” here too. Over the past few years the world has been stocking up on anti-flu supplies in preparation for the expected bird flu epidemic, and we certainly have large quantities of anti-viral medicines like Tamiflu. However, we do lack a vaccine for swine flu as of right now, but that is not too much of a concern. Of course, this does not mean that we do not have to take action if swine flu becomes a pandemic, but we will not have to worry about the fall of civilization. As always, Third World countries will have a higher mortality rate than developed countries, and there may be serious issues in African countries if swine flu reaches there.

China will probably suffer the worst—it possesses several highly concentrated population centers—Beijing, Shanghai, and Hong Kong—that lack first-class healthcare or measure to contain the spread of disease. How the Chinese government will react to this new threat will be interesting indeed.

So, to summarize: I am not worried. Though swine flu may turn into a pandemic, the world is not unprepared for it. We can only watch and wait for further developments. 

What's in a name? (part 1)

The War on Terror is over. At least, Obama has told his top advisors and officials to stop using the term and instead use the phrase “Overseas Contingency Operations.” This is not the only name-change that Obama has put in place—in fact, it seems as if he is purposely trying to discard as many Bush-era phrases as quickly has he can. Today, I would like to discuss the lexicon of the Bush Administration, its effects on America, and why President Obama is so eager to move away from it. In particular, there are a few phrases I would like to discuss:

War on Terror—this is perhaps the most notable phrase of the Bush era, it is equally important to note how quickly Obama opted to change it. This phrase is designed to be a euphemism for Bush’s neoconservative approach foreign policy, which groups nations and peoples into clearly defined, black-and-white categories. “War” implies two distinct and well-defined sides engaged in open warfare so that one side will ultimately obliterate the other. “Terror,” of course, is a reference to 9/11, the mere mention of which infuriated Americans a few years ago. The phrase helped to sell the war using an age-old fear-mongering technique: make something sound far more sinister and dire than it actually is.

It is no surprise to me that Obama wants to replace this with a more euphemistic phrase. First, the Iraq War is no longer a war in the traditional sense—it is much closer to a police action than anything else. Since Obama is focusing on getting out of Afghanistan and Iraq, he does not want to make it sound as if we have a full-fledge war on our hands. Still, there are some dangers to using euphemisms for armed conflicts—as Robert Heinlein points out (I’m paraphrasing) “You are just as dead in a police action as you are in a real war.” Even so, Obama’s term is far more accurate than Bush’s extreme-sounding “Global War on Terror.”

Axis of Evil—like “War on Terror,” this reinforces the neoconservative foreign policy stance. Bush used this term to describe Iran, Iraq, and North Korea. As Bush put it: “States like these, and their terrorist allies, constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world.” To many Americans, the word “axis” still retains a negative connotation from the Axis Power of WWII, which was undoubtedly why Bush chose in included. Like “War on Terror,” the phrase is intended to sell the Iraq War and make the situation seem more extreme than it actually was. It is interesting to note that the three nations included in Bush’s axis are not even working together—North Korea has no affiliation with Iran or Iraq. Obama has never used this term, which is unsurprising since his foreign policy is far more diplomatic than Bush’s. Also, there is not longer any reason to portray Iraq as “evil” because it has undergone a regime change. Thus, “axis of evil” is more outdated than it is incompatible with Obama’s policies.

Tomorrow I will cover more terms used during the Bush years and discuss their significance. 

So much for unity...

Though I am reluctant to judge Obama just yet, one aspect of his administration is clear: his promise to “end partisanship” in America will go unfulfilled. In fact, since his administration took power the opposite has happened. Today, I would like to discuss this growing trend of partisanship and how to prevent it. Much of this recent surge of partisanship is not Obama’s fault, but merely the result of the fact that he is so liberal. In other areas, though, he is indeed responsible.

The first arena in which Obama’s promise will go unfulfilled is in Congress itself. During the election, he promised to work more closely with Republicans in Congress, ensuring that his legislation would have the support of both parties. Instead, the results of the election made the Republicans an endangered species in Congress, making it difficult to oppose the Democrats. This, in turn, caused the Democrats to attempt to pass legislation that they wouldn’t otherwise, infuriating the Republicans.

To be fair, not much of this is Obama’s fault—though he could have done a better job of working with Republicans on the stimulus bill, many of them refused approve any kind of government spending related legislation, making compromise impossible. Additionally, many Democrats exacerbated the problem by attempting to abuse their newfound supermajority, which angered Republicans and made them less willing to compromise.

Obama’s election has also created partisan issues in the public sphere. After some of the stimulus legislation and bailouts passed, many prominent conservatives turned into alarmists, declaring that Obama is a socialist, communist, Muslim, and tyrant. The best example of this is the infamous Tea Parties, which had cropped up in response to the most recent economic legislation. Also, other social issues are inflaming conservatives, such as Obama’s reversal of the stem cell research ban. There are also some issues concerning gun control, even though Obama has done nothing in this area so far. In fact, many gun-happy Americans are buying as many weapons as they can, fearing that Obama is going to tighten gun control laws.

These social issues (and the all-important economic one) could be considered Obama’s fault, but he is not to blame for the alarmism and destructive criticism. I certainly understand the animosity towards bailouts and the inevitable tax increases. But the real instigators of the conservative anti-Obama movement are Republican rabble-rousers such as Rush Limbaugh, who, as we all know, “hopes Obama fails.” To put it bluntly, I have no sympathy for these destructive critics, just as I had no sympathy for those who blithely criticized George Bush without offering their own solution. However, many Americans are so infuriated and depressed with the economic situation that ruthless rhetoric sounds appealing.

What can we do about this issue? Unfortunately, I do not believe there is an easy solution. Americans are almost always going to disagree, and there are always going to be rabble-rousers on both sides of party lines. The best we can hope for is that Americans eventually grow tired of constant criticism and resolve to form their own opinions. But I’m not holding my breath. 

The new capitalism

For weeks, political pundits—both liberal and conservative—have been rambling on about their belief that Obama’s policies are going to create a new form of American capitalism, the likes of which have never been seen before. Conservative pundits have attempted to use this as a fear-mongering technique, spreading the dire warning that Obama is peddling socialism. Until now I have looked upon these claims with skepticism—after all, during the Great Depression FDR used socialistic policies to create consumerism, which became the biggest boost to American capitalism in all of American history. Though his policies where based around government intervention, at heart FDR was still an avid defender of capitalism.

But Obama is not FDR. Though both are using government intervention to save capitalism, it is becoming clearer every day that Obama does not plan to return to the status quo after the recession ends. I am not worried that Obama is a radical leftist who will destroy American economic freedom, but I think it is clear that we will not be returning to business as usual.

The first and most obvious sign of this is the G20 Summit. Not only did Obama wholeheartedly support the conference, but he supported mandates to regulate global trade, support the International Monetary Fund, and encourage government spending to end the global recession. This is a far cry from “Reaganomics,” where government is viewed as the problem, not the solution. Next, Obama has clearly stated his intent of guiding American industry and banking to prosperity. He demanded the resignation of a prominent auto executive, and has supported bailouts for banks and financial institutions, something even Democratic Presidents would be hesitant about.

These signs (warning signs, to conservatives) hint at a future paradigm shift in American economic policy. Clearly, Obama is planning to re-invent capitalism and the way America interacts with the world, probably through legislation.  

When will these changes occur? I don’t know for sure, but I believe it will be soon. Recall that immediately after the election Obama promised to “fix” the US economy and declared that the American people could hold him responsible for the result of his administration. What this means is simple: he acknowledges that if he can’t “fix it” in 4 years, he won’t be re-elected. However, it is probably impossible to bring us back to where we were in 2008 in 4 years, so many Americans will be unhappy even if Obama manages to slow or stop the recession (and decide not to vote for him again anyway). Also, Obama probably realizes that if things do not begin to turn around by 2010, the Democrats may lose their majority in Congress. Thus, I believe that Obama plans to implement his reforms sometime the next year or so. I am not sure exactly how or even what he plans to do, but I think we are going to see a major economic policy shift in the next few years. 

Will Obama’s reforms be for the best? This is a very difficult question, and we can only speculate. For one thing, it is obvious that the world is no longer going to depend on the US economy as much as it used to. Though this reduces our role in world politics, I believe it is for the best because our economic growth can no longer match that of developing countries. However, this economic influence may be crucial in the potential cold war against China, in which the US will probably be hard-pressed (once again) from preventing an authoritarian government from expanding its influence. As always, though only time will tell the real result of Obama’s reform. One thing is clear, though: we will see change soon, be it for the better or worse.  

On the Obama’s dog

Today I would like to discuss a somewhat innocuous issue that has been all over the news lately: the Obama family’s new dog, Bo. The American media has eaten this story up, providing in-depth discussion of the dog’s breed and how it is being cared for. I would like to discuss the implications of the massive amount of media coverage for such a small, unimportant event.

At first, I was dismayed by the media’s treatment of this issue. With so many serious issues ahead of us, I looked with scorn upon the media’s focus on pointless stories such as this one. I feared the lasting effect that treating Obama like a celebrity could have. If the media continues to portray Obama as a celebrity figure, in the minds of many Americans he may become one, with disastrous results. Like other American celebrities, Americans might pay close attention to Obama’s personal like without caring about the important things he does. After all, he is the President of the United States, and we must not allow ourselves to get distracted from his policies by trivial details about he personal life. This concern is not entirely unfounded—former President Bill Clinton suffered from this celebrity syndrome, and by the end of his administration people no longer cared about his policies, only about his sex scandals. In fact, I recently saw a program on the History Channel that summarized the events during the term of each President. In Clinton’s segment, none of his polices or decisions were discussed, bu the Monica Lewinsky affair was talked about at length. To be fair, Clinton brought this upon himself—during his Presidential campaign Clinton tried to appear “cool” to appeal to younger voters, even going so far as to appear on MTV playing the saxophone on election night. 

However, I now believe that giving this story so much attention may be for the better. Though it distracts from the more serious issues, this is not as unfortunate as I originally thought. In times as grim as these, people need something trivial to take their minds off of their concerns, and the Obama family’s dog does just that. People can follow the plight of Barack’s Portuguese water dog instead of worrying about their own trouble, and escape (if only for a minute) from the harsh realities they must face. Indeed, this same concept of escapism is what makes the Hollywood culture so appealing to many Americans. Americans often nitpick over their heroes, as we saw with the unending praise for pilot Chelsea B. Sullenburger, who landed a plane in the Hudson River. Thus, as long as we avoid treating our President as a superficial celebrity, I see no problem with caring about what brand of dog food Bo is going to get. In this respect, too, I am more confident: if the issue is put in perspective, it is obvious that the President’s family getting a dog is far less celebrity-like than the President cheating on his wife. 

Just for fun: the Time Cube

Today I would like to take brief moment to discuss something I have stumbled across: the "Time Cube" website. This site is the outpost of a certain Dr. Gene Ray, who invented a theory that supposedly explains everything. This theory (which I am having some trouble understanding) has something to do with the way Earth rotates, but because it goes against most religions and makes little sense most people have never heard of it. Dr. Ray (who signs all of his posts on this website "Gene Ray, Cubic and Wisest Human") claims that there is a giant conspiracy to prevent people from learning about the Time Cube, perpetuated by the education system. He suggests that if people disagree with the theory or even are unaware of it they will burn in hell (even though the theory has nothing to do with the afterlife at all, as far as I can tell. 

I found Ray's use of extra-large text aggravating, and his writing style is almost completely incoherent. After reading through the website, I came across a few points that Gene Ray makes that I would like to repeat. First, Dr. Ray believes that -1 times -1 is equal to -1. Don't ask me why. Second, this theory of the Time Cube somehow has to do with race relations. From what I gather, Dr. Ray is a bit of a racist, which he somehow justifies with the fact that Earth actually has four simultaneous days instead of one. Next, Dr. Ray believes that the Judeo-Christian God is homosexual. Again, don't ask me why. Overall, the website appears to be the best example of crank fundamentalism, pseudoscience, conspiracy, and incoherence I have ever seen. 

For these reasons, check the website out for yourself. If nothing else, it is hilarious to read. And if you figure out what Dr. Ray is talking about, please tell me—I’d like to know.

1776 in 2009 (part 2)

Nowhere is the issue of Americans longing for 1776 more present than in the issue of gun control. Gun-toting Americans see gun control laws as an offense to the men of 1776, who proudly carried guns and respected others’ rights to do so. However, regardless of whether gun control is justified, it is important to note that things have changed considerable since 1776, so the argument that “it’s what the Founding Fathers wanted” is not as valid as it seems.

The first difference between 1776 and today that relates to gun control is the fact that the reason people need guns is different. In 1776, society was more agrarian, less industrial, and more of a “pioneer culture.” In colonial times guns were not only helpful to deter crime, but also necessary for survival. Guns were essential for hunting, protection against robbers or invading Indians, and many other uses. Because of this, the way people viewed gun control in 1776 was very different from today: back then, t would have seemed far more tyrannical to take away people’s guns than it does now. 

Next, remember that in 1776 guns were very different than they are now. At the time of the American Revolution the best weapons were primitive flintlock muskets, and pistols could only fire one shot. Today, though, we have a wide variety of extremely deadly firearms, from handguns to high-powered rifles to automatic weapons. These make it possible for a single person to kill many other people quickly and easily, which is a concept that simply didn’t exist in the Founding Fathers’ time. 

However, there is one fundamental aspect of gun control that has not changed since 1776: gun control can act as a deterrent to crime. Similar to the way the fear of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) deters nuclear war, guns can prevent crime by acting as an equalizer. Today, pro-gun and conservative politicians often cite this effect as justification for less gun control.

So, what can this tell us about the issue of gun control? One thing is clear: preserving the right to bear arms simply because “the Founding Fathers would want it” is an absurd an invalid argument. So much has changed technologically and societal since 1776 that the principles behind the 2^nd Amendment are radically different today. However, there is still some merit to the 2^nd Amendment as a deterrent to crime. Also, from a libertarian perspective the problem changes only superficially—since libertarians believe that the preservation of civil liberties is the most important thing, the social issues surrounding guns are irrelevant. From are more practical perspective, though, these issues must be taken into consideration. Also, think about this: even if less gun control would deter crime, what sort of weapons should be banned? Should automatic weapons be allowed? What about assault rifles or explosives? I’ll leave it to my readers to decide for themselves.

Dialogue with an objectivist (part 2)

Today I will continue my discussion on my conversation with my objectivist relative. As the conversation progressed, the topic of public versus private education kept coming up. As a pure laissez-faire capitalist, libertarian, and objectivist, my relative opposes public education, stating that education should be left in the hands of individuals.

My argument against privatized education is this: without public (“socialized,” as he called it) education to act as an equalizer, society could develop into a rigid caste structure defined by the cost of this education. My reasoning is simple: education is obviously an integral part of any successful person’s upbringing—no matter how intelligent a person is, without an education they will only be able to rise so far. If education is privatized, a large percentage of the population would not be able to afford it, meaning that they will be unable to ascend in socio-economic status. However, the sons and daughters of the rich can afford education that will allow them to be “qualified” for many high-level positions, often regardless of skill level. Because it is impossible to break from this cycle, the result is a world defined by class, in which one’s greatest asset is rich parentage. Since this type of society is neither desirable nor equal (which is the objectivist reason for capitalism, since it forces people to be on equal ground and “earn” everything they have), it is obvious that public education serves society much more.

My relative’s refutation of this is that education is not the most important aspect of success—he stated that natural intelligence, which cannot be taught, is the most important. I find this view overly idealistic—as we see today, employers are not as skilled and gauging incompetence and stupidity as many think. Also, it is not true that wisdom is often more important the knowledge—most jobs require a person to be learned in a subject, regardless of how smart they are.

Additionally, the topic of ownership was brought up repeatedly. My “opponent” stated that the product of a person’s are always their property, and any government that thinks otherwise is oppressive and unjust. Indeed, he compared any form of government intervention or income redistribution (a term he used in a disgusted tone) akin to slavery. However, he did mention some odd points about the concept of ownership. First, he stated that only a person, not a group of people, can own a invention. At one point he went as far as to say that groups of people cannot invent things, only individuals can. (I quickly shot this down with numerous examples.) Additionally, he stated that it is impossible to force someone to think. This did not surprise me—it is one of the central themes of “Atlas Shrugged,” which I have read and discussed here before. I am not so sure of this one, either—I mentioned the Soviet Union as a counter example, but my relative did not accept this.

Overall, I was quite surprised to meet a hard-core objectivist in the flesh. I knew such people existed, as there is are several foundations and organizations devoted to the promotion of the objectivism. However, I was very surprised to find one who is so few “degrees of separation” away from me. Also, I should point out that this conversation did not change my views—I still regard objectivism as invalid and outmoded. 

Dialogue with an objectivist (part 1)

Tomorrow I will return to my discussion on 1776 ideals applied to 2009. Today, I would like to discuss something different.

This weekend I had an interesting conversation with one of my relatives, who happens to be a hard-core Randian objectivist. He owns an impressive library of objectivist literature, namely “every book Ayn Rand has ever written.” (Interestingly, he also possesses many of Zecharia Sitchin’s works. But that’s a discussion for another day.) This relative (who I will not name) and I conducted an interesting discussion on politics and economics, which I would like to talk about here.

First, I would like to delve into some of what he believes, which he explained to me at the beginning of the discussion. Though his views are not exactly the same as Ayn Rand’s, they are still in line with mainstream objectivism. For the most part, he sees government as a pestilence that causes nothing but trouble. Not surprisingly, he wants to see a very laissez-faire government that does not interfere in any industry whatsoever, including healthcare, food production, education, and social security. He believes that taxing a person and allowing that tax money to benefit another person is the equivalent of slavery—the worst thing in the world, he said, is “to be a slave to someone else’s need.” To him, any form of income redistribution or taxpayer-funded service is immoral and unjust. Next, he believes very firmly in the concept of ownership—he claims that that all inventions were created by people acting individually and of their own free will. From this he derives he equally strong views on ownership: anything a person owns is their property, and no one else (especially not the government) should be allowed to take it from them. Lastly, he is a libertarian in the traditional sense—he believes that “consensual crimes” and crimes in which only the person committing them is harmed should not be crimes at all. Overall, his emphasis was on “letting the chips fall where they may,” a very objectivist dogma.

I, on the other hand, argued for a government that was based around the idea of a social contract, in which all citizens must help society as a whole. Though I did not argue with his libertarian ideology (as I am a libertarian in the social sphere as well) I did protest against a society in which the prime movers are profit-seekers. (I am no fan of objectivism, though it does interest me.) Though there was no real conclusion to this argument, there were some interesting points brought up, a few of which I would like to mention.

First, I argued that a social-contract based government is necessary for survival, especially in today’s world. Consider what would happen to America if it had no standing army—within days it would be invaded and conquered. Though my objectivist relative eventually conceded that a military is necessary, he firmly stated that government has almost no other role besides protecting it citizens. He then reaffirmed his point that government should never force people to give what they have earned.

I then went on to argue that a world without government regulation or interference would be far less desirable than one with it. He persisted that if industry is run by profit-seekers, “at least we know where they stand.” However, I brought up one of the central points raised in Upton Sinclair’s “The Jungle”—rich capitalists can subjugate the world by maintaining a monopoly on the things people need to survive. (Unfortunately my objectivist relative had not read “The Jungle”, so the analogy was mostly lost. I suppose I shouldn’t have expected him to have read it—it is a socialist rag, after all.)

My relative then proceeded to reiterate that government should not force people to sustain other people who cannot earn a living by making them pay for things such as public education. However, I argued that the system he is proposing actually destroys the idea of equal opportunity rather than promoting it, especially in the case of education. (I will cover this in more detail tomorrow, as it became one of the main points of the discussion.)

Overall, this was one of the most interesting conversations I have had in a very long time, and for that reason I felt it was worth noting. It was very intriguing to talk with such a pure objectivist, whose ideas on what government should do are so radically different from everyone else’s. Tomorrow I will focus on the topic of education, which because one of the central themes of the discussion.    

1776 in 2009 (part 1)

American politicians often quote or mention America’s Founding Fathers to gain popular support. Most politicians will promise to stay true to the principles of 1776, as this usually reassures and comforts Americans about that politician’s agenda. Americans feel something of a longing for the ideologies of the time, and both Democrats and Republicans look back on 1776 with nostalgia. Indeed, the phrases “Framers of the Constitution” and the “Spirit of 1776” have developed an extremely positive connotation. However, many things have changed since 1776, and the world is not what it once was. Is the spirit of 1776 still applicable today?

The essential question it comes down to is this: are the Framers of the Constitutions’ visions worth preserving? At the time, the nation the Founding Fathers envisioned a nation steeped in the democratic spirit and in the protection of civil liberties, which was certainly in the public good. But should the US government still function by these same principles today, given the changes in technology and world affairs? Let me be clear—I am not suggesting that democracy and civil liberties are outdated—however, there are specific aspects of the early American government that are probably not applicable today.

The central aspect of 1776 that most Americans look back nostalgically on is the era’s supposed rugged individualism and limited government. People were patriotic and supported their country, but their government did not interfere with their lives. Today, though, a small, limited government would be extremely impractical. However, it is possible to pursue libertarianism and more civil liberties, restricting government’s role in the social sphere, but it a large, central government is almost indispensable. The reasons for this are obvious: a large government is necessary in order to provide for national security, fight crime, maintain the public school system, and so on. In this respect we cannot regress to 1776, but we can limit government’s role in our lives by reinforcing civil liberties.

Next, in early America there was a strong focus on state’s rights. This debate pretty much ended with the American Civil War, when the government became more federal and state’s rights were reduced. Thankfully few people are nostalgic for this part of early America, since the notion that states can blatantly disobey the federal government caused enormous problems. Today, states rights might result in a conflict similar to the Civil War, as the country is divided along partisan lines just as it was in Lincoln’s day.

Also, many conservatives are nostalgic for 1776 because it represented a time when America was more homogenous, and “problems” such as homosexuality were all but invisible. Personally, I do not find this aspect of 1776 very appealing, as I believe diversity is what makes America so special. (I have the same problem with people who are nostalgic for the conformist era that was the 1950’s, or for the Regan administration, which tried to accomplish the same thing. However, I suspect I am alone in this respect—according to a recent survey, many Americans do not believe that minorities (especially atheists, to my surprise) do not fit in with their “vision of America.”

Overall, though, one of the aspects of 1776 America that people long for is the era’s (supposed) rugged individualism. However, this lifestyle and mentality are no longer compatible with today’s society, except in some isolated, rural areas Though many people are justified in longing for a “simpler time” or an era of pioneering spirit, America has long since moved away from pioneer ideals.

Despite these differences, though, America is still not completely different from that of 1776. It is still a democratic nation (as it should be), and it still places emphasis on civil liberties (though there is some controversy over these). Though it is important to remember the spirit of 1776, we must always keep in mind that we cannot apply 200 year old philosophies to modern life. 

Next time, I will discuss this issue in relation to the issue of gun control. 

Utilitarianism and libertarianism

Believe it or not, the radically different philosophies of libertarianism and utilitarianism are actually connected. Utilitarianism focuses on “the greatest good,” and the idea that the moral worth of an action is related to its overall utility. Libertarianism is seemly unconnected, as it deals with maximizing civil liberties and reducing government interference in the social sphere.

However, the two have far more in common than meets the eye. Enter “preference utilitarianism,” the belief that utilitarianism is best fulfilled by examining through the eyes of “preference satisfaction.” Because each person’s preferences are different, preference satisfaction is not one-size-fits-all—instead of emphasizing a single solution like classical utilitarianism, it is much more tailored to individuals.

This is where libertarianism comes in. In order to allow people to fulfill their own preferences, it would be more desirable for a society to maximize civil liberties. This way, instead of the much-criticized draconian or fascist brands of utilitarianism, people are allowed to pursue their version of happiness in their own way.

But where does it stop? Should people be allowed to harm or kill others if they so desire? Should certain people be allowed to possess nuclear weapons if that is their version of satisfaction? On a large scale, it is obvious that one person harming multiple people is unethical according to utilitarianism and should therefore be prevented. On a smaller scale, though, this becomes a tricky question in utilitarian ethics. Consider the following example: Person A is harming Person B, which is causing Person A the same amount of happiness as it is causing Person B unhappiness. Because the two cancel each other out, intervention would seem to be unethical according to utilitarianism. Act utilitarian would probably state that even though it is in the common good to prevent people from harming others, the particular scenario I mentioned is ethically neutral. Rule utilitarians, however, would most likely consider the scenario morally wrong (assuming that “don’t harm others” is one of their ethical rules). Even so, it is a thorny problem that highlights the consequences of utilitarian ethics.

Additionally, preference utilitarianism—and particularly the libertarian version of it—are far more “less than perfect” than the idealistic vision flaunted by classical utilitarianism. Though this may deter classical utilitarians (especially act utilitarians) from supporting it, utilitarianism has always been criticized for being to utopian to be realistic—perhaps libertarian utilitarianism is a reasonable middle ground. Also, utilitarianism is often not egalitarian because of the repugnant conclusion—however, libertarianism corrects this, as libertarianism focuses on equal civil liberties. Though it diverges from the traditional definition of utilitarianism, I believe that libertarian preference utilitarianism is a viable and practical way to achieve “the greatest good.”

Philosophy in “Watchmen” (part 2)

In addition to exploring moral philosophy, Zach Snyder’s film adaptation of Watchmen also contains some intriguing political commentary. The film (and original graphic novel) takes place in an “alternate history,” which is essential to understanding some of the political aspects of the story.

In this “alternate history,” masked superheroes with limited or no actual powers begin assisting the US government in the 1940’s. This group, called the Watchmen, aids the government by fighting crime and helping with foreign affairs. The Watchmen help to win the Vietnam War and are present at other historical events, such as the Kennedy assassination (though they are unable to prevent this). However, they are cannot stop the escalation of the Cold War, which lasts until 1985, when the movie takes place. Richard Nixon is President of the United States, and is serving his fifth term. Fear of nuclear war is greater than ever, and until the characters influence the course of history it was probably inevitable.

Watchmen certainly contains something of an anti-Reganist message to it—the comic has been called Moore’s “admonition to those who trusted in 'heroes' and leaders to guard the world's fate.” The phrase “who watches the watchmen?” is obviously significant, as it hammers home out Moore’s dislike of blind faith in others. Moore is also criticizing the Americanocentric view of the world held by many during the Reagan administration, mostly by using Vietnam as tool to examine this. For example, one the characters remarks that “it would really have hurt us as a nation if we lost in Vietnam.”

Also, the film makes many bold statements about the politics of Richard Nixon. The plot’s alternate history implies that the Cold War was lengthened because the Vietnam War was won during Nixon’s Presidency. The fact that Nixon “won” the war caused him to be re-elected more than twice, resulting in a more conservative foreign policy during the 70’s, increasing tensions. Moore is clearly trying to say something about that kind of black and white foreign policy, since he notably includes Nixon in the plot.

Additionally, the plot rejects the prominent Cold War ideology of nuclear deterrence. All of the characters agree that nuclear war is going to happen eventually, with the result being the complete annihilation of the world.

Overall, I found the film to be fascinating on many levels. On the surface, it is a suburb action movie, violent as they come and packed with fight scenes. As far as acting and directing go, Watchmen rates highly as well—Zach Synder did an excellent job preserving Moore’s vision. Lastly, Snyder also preserved the subtle ideas behind the story, including the political commentary and the moral philosophy. If Watchmen’s gritty, brutal scenes and its postmodern feel do not deter you, I think you will enjoy it. 

Philosophy in "Watchmen" (part 1)

Today I am going to discuss some of the subtle philosophical and political commentary in Zach Snyder’s film adaptation of the Alan Moore graphic novel Watchmen. If you haven’t seen the film, today’s discussion probably isn’t going to make much sense.

First, I’d like to look at some of the characters. Not surprisingly, each has his/her own extreme philosophical viewpoint, and it is these contrasting beliefs that make the film so interesting. (I say not surprisingly because Alan Moore often includes philosophy in his works, such as in V for Vendetta.) Let’s look at the characters and their views one by one.

Ozymandias: utilitarianism. Ozymandias is a classic example of utilitarian ethics. He is obsessed with the “greater good,” and had devoted himself to creating peace on earth. At the end of the film, Ozymandias destroys most of the world’s major cities to prevent the Cold War from resulting in a nuclear annihilation. In other words, he is “killing millions to save billions”—a textbook example of utilitarian morality. Likewise, Ozymandias has no moral qualms about killing off his fellow Watchmen because he is working for the greater good. Specifically, Ozymandias is an act utilitarian—he does not believe in any specific code that brings about the greater good; he believes that any action that maximizes utility is moral.

The Comedian: nihilism. Edward Blake (alias “The Comedian”) is a nihilist, at least in part. He sees the universe as random and chaotic, and states repeatedly that human nature is animalistic and chaotic. He laughs at the fact that humans are smart enough to build nuclear weapons, since they will probably lead to man’s destruction. Blake’s actions certainly reflect his nihilistic attitudes: in a sequence of flashbacks, he is shown gleefully gunning down Viet Cong in the Vietnam War, killing a pregnant woman, and shooting a crowd of protesters. However, Blake is not completely nihilistic in that he still cares for his own life and the lives of many others. Though he laughs at the inevitability of nuclear war, Blake still worries that Ozymandias’s scheme—which involves mass killing—will come to fruition.

Rorschach: moral absolutism. Rorschach, the film’s central character, is a paranoid conservative moralist, as evidenced by his narration of the film and by his actions. He believes in a clearly defined good and evil and that evil should be punished and destroyed. For the most part, his morality is act-based: an action is automatically good or automatically evil, even if it is well intentioned or brings about good results. Rorschach repeatedly affirms his hatred for what he considers to be immoral behavior, and repeatedly murders criminals mercilessly. At the end of the film, he refuses to submit to Ozymandias’ benevolent regime, and condemns his actions, which Rorschach sees as mass murder. Rorschach is also politically conservative—he states several times that he hates communists and people with “liberal sentiments.”

Dr. Manhattan: anti-anthropocentrism. Dr. Manhattan is one of the more bizarre characters in the film. After an incident in a nuclear research lab, Dr. Manhattan (as he is renamed) is given godlike powers, including the ability to manipulate matter in any way he likes. However, these powers also serve to isolate him from society—as the plot progress, he begins to distance himself from people more and more, eventually resulting in his self-exile on the barren surface of Mars. Manhattan is oddly anti-anthropocentric, his knowledge of the universe bringing him a strange sense of humility. He states at one point that the desolate surface of Mars “gets along fine without life.” He feels almost no sympathy for other human beings or for human suffering, stating that “a dead human being has the same number of atoms as a live one.” I have difficult coming to terms with this mentality—it is hard to understand what Manhattan means by a barren planet “getting along fine.” But that’s a discussion for another day. 

Later today I will examine some the film’s political commentary. 

A “nuclear-free world” (part 2)

Now I would like to move on to what President Obama means by the phrase “nuclear-free world.” In a recent speech, he outlined his dream of a future in which no nation possesses nuclear weapons, making war obsolete. However, I am not so sure that this would be as idyllic of a future as Obama makes it seem. Also, I doubt that what Obama is suggesting is even possible.

First, I will address the issue of whether a world without nuclear weapons is desirable. Obviously it is in our benefit to prevent terrorists, belligerent nations, or unstable nations from building nuclear weapons, and preventing certain countries from having nuclear weapons would be a good idea. If fewer nations, or none at all, have atomic weapons, it is much more difficult for terrorists to obtain them. However, it would not be impossible for them to do so, as the knowledge required to make nuke still exists. It is certainly possible for a nation or group to build nuclear weapons without help from other countries, as North Korea proves. A nation that possesses nuclear weapons has enormous leverage over other nations, and in a non-nuclear world this means that any nation can simply build nukes and become a world power. Granted, Obama is also stressing missile defense systems, but these systems are far from perfect, and technologies to allow missiles to bypass these systems are being developed as fast as the systems themselves.

Also, remember that nuclear weapons are a deterrent to war. During the Cold War, neither side went to war because of the fear of MAD, or mutually assumed destruction. Today, the same scenario exists, which is the reason that no large-scale nuclear war has ever occurred. If nuclear weapons were taken away, there are fewer disincentives from waging conventional war on others. Take WWII, for example—Germany believed that it could win the war in Europe, so it invaded its neighbors mercilessly. However, if other nations had nuclear weapons, Germany probably would have never attacked, since a conventional attack would result in an un-winnable nuclear war. Indeed, the idea of a nuclear war with “acceptable” casualties ended long ago, in the early days of the Cold War. Since then, most people realize the futility of trying to launch a pre-emptive strike, nuclear or non-nuclear. However, if nuclear weapons were removed from the scenario, the result would change—nations could attack each other more easily, as there are no nukes to level the playing field.

Granted, the philosophy of MAD is not perfect. The policy makes many assumptions that are not necessarily true, and many contingencies—especially the dreaded “Dr. Strangelove” scenario—can occur. Overall, though, MAD and deterrence are the reason that no true nuclear was has ever occurred, and to take this away would probably not have a good effect on world affairs.

Additionally, the goal of a non-nuclear world is unattainable. Few nations are going to want to surrender their atomic weapons, especially belligerent ones such as Iran and North Korea. In fact, just a few days ago North Korea launched a rocket that was supposedly a test for long-range missiles, despite the fact that the US and UN demanded that the launch be aborted. Also, it is unlikely that any nation, no matter how well intentioned, will want to surrender their nuclear weapons while other nations still possess theirs. However, this may be the only solution, as a truly simultaneous disarmament is impossible.

Overall, Obama’s goal is noble, but extraordinarily impractical one to carry out. Instead of pushing for disarmament, Obama should be stressing diplomacy—it is still possible for nations to get along, even if both have the capacity to destroy the other. 

A “nuclear-free world” (part 1)

In a recent speech, President Obama called on European nations to support nuclear non-proliferation treaties and asked them to begin to reduce the number of nuclear missiles in existence. Obama also asked other nations, such as Russia and China, to stop building nuclear weapons and start disarming them instead. Obama is clearly trying to reach what he calls a “nuclear-free world”—a future where no nations possess nuclear weapons. Today, I would like to explore this idea of a world without nuclear arms.

Before I discuss Obama’s vision of a nuclear-free world, I would like to talk about a similar topic: how would history have progressed if nuclear weapons had never been invented? I believe that the course of history would be radically different, as certain nations—especially the US—have used nuclear weapons as a bargaining chip to attain their status as a world power.

Firstly, WWII would have ended very differently. The US would have had to launch a full-scale invasion of Japan (probably in 1946, which was Truman’s original plan), which would have cost hundreds of thousands if not millions of lives. Japan would have been completely shattered, and the US would be significantly weakened as well. This would mean that the Soviet Union would be just as powerful—if not more powerful—than the US. They would also be far less influenced by US intimidation because the US would not possess the atomic bomb, the use of which on Japan worried the Soviet Union. 

The Cold War would still have occurred because of the ideological differences between the US and USSR, but the way it would be fought would be very different from what actually happened. For example, Europe might have fallen to the Soviets because the US probably wouldn’t have the money to execute the Marshall Plan. Also, the Cold War’s “proxy wars,” the Korean War and the Vietnam War, may have been fought differently because there would be less fear of the US and USSR engaging in direct warfare (because neither possessed nuclear weapons). However, I find it unlikely that a full-scale conventional war would erupt between the two powers. If such a war did occur, though, the results would be catastrophic and unpredictable.

The 1960’s and 1970’s would probably be about the same—the Cold War would continue, the anti-war movement in the US would be stunted by a conservative President, the civil rights movement would finally achieve results. Sometime in the 1980’s or 1990’s the Soviet Union would collapse.

Overall, the world would be similar on the surface but different on deeper levels. The Cold War would bring with it a different mentality, not one of fear but of intense nationalism, similar to the national pride felt during WWII. The US would have a smaller role in world affairs, as the negative economic results of an extended WWII would weaken the country somewhat. Additionally, wars between smaller countries (and even possibly larger ones, such as China) might occur as late as the 60’s, 70’s, 80’s, or 90’s, because no nation has nuclear weapons, which often deter war from occurring. In general, the world would not be a better place—and certainly not a utopian one—without nuclear weapons. Instead, because of nuclear deterrence, there would probably be more people killed in war had the atomic bomb never been invented. 

Later today I will discuss what President Obama means by the term “nuclear-free world.”

The future of the UN

The UN, or United Nations, was founded to prevent wars and settle disputes between countries peacefully. A noble goal, but there is just one problem: the UN is weak. Since its inception, the UN has been the pawn of the nations on the UNSC (the UN Security Council)—when all of them agree on something, the UN takes action. But otherwise the organization becomes bogged down with endless discussion and debate. The UN can clearly do more than this, and I believe it should be a stronger, more federal organization between the countries that make it up. Today, I will explain why I support a stronger UN.

The main reason for a stronger UN is to keep belligerent nations in line. Today the UN is made up of many nations, most of whom share the common interest of preventing warring nations from causing harm. However, the UN is often unable to achieve this because their “peacekeeping” army is quite small, and UN intervention often raises eyebrows. For example, in the case of the Iraq War, most of the nations on the UN and UNSC supported entering Iraq, but because of the way the UN functions it is almost impossible for the organization to declare war without unilateral support. If this is amended, the UN can intimidate belligerent nations such as Iran or North Korea because the UN would attack these nations if they disobey it. Though this sounds overly imperialistic, it is very important in the nuclear age—for example, I doubt North Korea would launch a nuclear attack if they knew UN nations would launch a counterstrike.

The second reason is an extension of the UN’s original purpose, peacekeeping. The UN can be used to ensure that the nations that constitute it do not go to war with another by requiring nations participating in the UN to sign a treaty forcing all nations in the UN to go to war with any other UN nation that acts aggressively or violates UN mandates. This will effectively keep UN nations at peace with each other—though this peace might be tense, it would be peace nonetheless.

Furthermore, the UN can be used to issue directives related to environmental, economic, or natural resource-related issues. For example, the UN can coordinate with the IMF and other organizations to regulate international trade and resource distribution. I believe that this power is going to be extremely important in the years to come because of the looming overpopulation crisis and the threat of global warming.

Of course, I am not suggesting that the UN become an all-controlling world government. I am simply suggesting that if the UN were more efficient and more federal, it could accomplish far more. But, as is always the case, if this power is not coupled with responsibility, the results will be disastrous.

But are any of these goals realistic? Is it reasonable to expect the UN to morph into a stronger, more federal union? Probably not. Since its inception, the UN has been bogged down by mindless debate, and even the UNSC members don’t always get along. In the next few years the situation may worsen, as China is beginning to take on a Cold War-type mentality, which is clearly incompatible with a federal UN. 

On the G20 summit

The G20 Summit has just begun, so I would like to take the day to discuss it.

First, I would like to give some background information on the G20. In simple terms, the G20 is an enormous conference centered around economic issues. The “20” in G20 refers to the 20 nations that make it up. These include the US, most of the EU, Japan, Brazil, Russia, and Argentina, among others. Obviously because of the pressing economic situation, the G20 is probably going to determine how quickly we can resolve this financial crisis. 

Next, I would like to talk about the protests surrounding the event. I can’t think of the last time I have seen such controversy and violence surrounding a political event—protesters have stormed banks, pitched tents, damaged financial buildings, and fought with London police. The protestors consist of various factions, from environmentalists to anti-capitalists, but most are probably just people who are angry at financial institutions. Some have called on people to “lay siege” to banks and other buildings. Overall, I am amazed at this wave of angry populism. Though I knew the event would be shrouded with controversy, I certainly did not expect large-scale riots. However, I doubt that these protests will have any bearing on the results of the conference, but they are an interesting litmus test of the economic climate. As Barack Obama put it, they instill a “sense of urgency” in the G20 leaders, reminding them how important this summit is.

Also, I would like to talk about what is going on at the summit. As you may have already heard, France is adamantly demanding extremely strict economic regulation. As of a few hours ago, Germany has sided with France; the German Prime Minister is also calling for strict regulation of international trade. However, a second faction has emerged: the UK and US are both demanding heavy government spending. I do not believe that these groups are going to divide the G20 and bog it down—France and Germany’s goal is certainly compatible with the United Kingdom and the US’s. Instead, I think that these two groups are going to be the ones who influence the final agreement the most. What come out of the G20 will probably have both heavy regulation and heavy spending.

Also, one of the main focuses of the G20 is probably going to be the IMF, the International Monetary Fund. The IMF will probably have its funds increased dramatically as a result of the G20, and they will probably be given more control over trade as well. The IMF has often come under criticism, since many believe that it disregards human rights concerns and manipulates the world economy. It is true that the IMF is not hostile towards dictatorships, but claims of conspiracy are probably unfounded.

Overall, I support the G20 and believe that it will bring results. Hopefully the summit can also stem the wave of angry populism banging on its doors. Even if the treaties and agreements signed at G20 have little effect on the global recession, the conference may be able to restore consumer confidence. One thing is very clear, though: this is the end of capitalism as we know it. The system that will emerge from G20 will be similar but not the same as the system we use now. Regulation and government spending will be increased, and government will have an enormous role in globalization. Is it for the best? Only time will tell.

I will probably write about the G20 again, most likely after it ends. 

Update: Obama and Pakistan

Last week I wrote about the US’s military’s use of unmanned drones to carry out air strikes in Pakistan. The air strikes have caused an increase of anti-Americanism in Pakistan, and I suggested that President Obama work with Pakistani authorities rather than ignore them. Amazingly, he has done just that—today, Obama agreed to consult Pakistani military leaders before performing air strikes in the country. With any luck, this should prevent more anti-Americanism from forming in the region by making the US seem more benevolent and cooperative. However, this is not the only thing I would like to talk about today—the White House has just released their new Afghanistan/Pakistan strategies, and I would like to discuss these. 

The main theme seems to be combining the plans for Pakistan and the plans for Afghanistan into a “coherent whole.”  Obama is making it very clear that the war will continue, but the way we handle it will change. This is not a “surge,” but an ongoing effort to pursue Al-Queda and put Afghani and Pakistani security forces in control of the situation. It will require more US troops to be sent overseas, but there is a clear exist strategy in mind: subdue the terrorists to the point where the local authorities can take over. There is clearly far more emphasis on reconstruction compared to the Bush Doctrine—as I understand it, the original plans for the Iraq War assumed that the Iraqis could rebuilt their country in 6 months.

The report also calls for more cooperation between US agencies and organizations in order to form a more concrete strategy. I believe that this is the most important point, since it is lack of communication that made the war in Iraq such a disaster. The US was woefully unprepared for the kind of war it was fighting, and there was no clearly defined exit strategy. If we can get the various branches of the military to communicate with each other and with other agencies (such as the CIA, FBI, NSA, etc.) I believe we will be fighting far more effectively. I am particularly concerned with the NSA—I suspect they have a gold mine of information about terrorist cells that the operational branches of the military have not tapped into yet.  

It is also clear that the US is going to call on other, non-NATO nations, such as China and Russia, to help out (or at least not oppose) with the war effort. I doubt this part of the report will have any significance—though Obama has a better repertoire with other heads of state than Bush did, I doubt he will be able to convince nations to commit themselves to a war means very little to them. 

Overall, will this strategy work? I think it might, but not as perfectly as Obama hopes. I believe his policy of better communication and will work far better than Bush’s “War on Terror,” which was ignorant of the fact that the nations the US is invading are not happy about the fact that their homeland is being meddled with. However, I don’t think that this new policy will destroy Al-Queda or the Taliban completely. It is almost impossible to completely snub radicalism in the Middle East, and it is going to take at least several years for local security forces to be able to handle this fight themselves. Additionally, Al-Queda is a worldwide organization—though we are eliminating some of their cells and cutting off their influence in two major Arab nations, we are not destroying the organization entirely. Sadly, in order to do so a much more interventionist policy is needed, one that would undoubtedly have the world spite the United States. 

Chinese espionage?

China seems to be all over the news lately, and over the past few weeks I have written several posts about current events relating to the PRC. Today I am going to add one more, because the story in question is particularly interesting. This morning researchers in the University of Toronto discovered an electronic spying network called GhostNet, which had “infiltrated at least 1,295 computers in 103 countries.” The network appeared to be based in China, and most of the nations infiltrated are located in East Asia. The spy network targeted politicians and companies these nations. Here is an incomplete list of some of the notable nations who were hacked: Iran, Bangladesh, Latvia, Indonesia, Philippines, Brunei, Barbados, Bhutan, India, South Korea, Indonesia, Romania, Cyprus, Malta, Thailand, Taiwan, Portugal, Germany and Pakistan. There was also evidence that one of GhostNet’s targets was the Dali Lama, since various private documents of his were found on the network.

The key question we must ask is this: was the Chinese government involved? Though the PRC has denied involvement and the Canadian researchers have stated that there is no conclusive evidence that the government had a hand in it, they do seem to be a very likely culprit. The fact that most of the nations on the list are East Asian is notable, since it hints at the motives of the hackers—at the very least, it proves that their objective is related to the nations surrounding China. Additionally, the fact that China was not on the list is also important—it shows that the hackers are not directly anti-Chinese. The most pressing piece of evidence is the fact that the Dali Lama was spied on extensively. The Lama is the spiritual leader of Tibet, a province of China that has always craved independence. It would make perfect sense for the Chinese government to want to spy on the Dali Lama or enlist someone else to do it for them.

Of course, this evidence does not prove that the PRC was behind GhostNet. There are many other possibilities—for example, Islamist terrorist groups may have wanted the information to plan future attacks, or the information may have been collected to be sold to organized crime groups. But one thing is clear: we must get to the bottom of this as quickly as possible. Though international relations with China may turn very sour if the PRC was related to GhostNet, we cannot push a scandal of this magnitude under the rug.

But even if GhostNet was not related to the Chinese government, it reminds us of the dangers of our computer-based society. The fact that a relatively small group of people was able to infiltrate over 103 countries is a reflection on how secure government secrets really are. It also begs the question, how many groups are there that we haven’t caught yet? The answer may be far worse than we think. Also, GhostNet reminds us that “cyber-terrorism” is still alive and well. Again, our infrastructure and government are probably nowhere near as secure as we would like to think.  We can only hope that the GhostNet incident will prompt governments to step up efforts to catch electronic spy rings before they become real threats to national security. 

World new flash 3/26/09

Today I would like to cover some world news topics, including Chinese military spending and the Israeli military.

Just a few days ago I wrote a blog post affirming my belief that China is a threat to democracy and peace in Asia, as it refuses to pressure following nations into listening to human rights concerns (in fact, it won’t even listen to them itself). A day later, the Pentagon released a report analyzing Chinese military spending over the past few years. The results (on right) are startling: China’s military spending has been increasing dramatically over the past decade, with no signs of stopping. By why does the Chinese government want to spend so much on defense? The Pentagon report suggests that they may use this military to suppress Muslim separatists in the northwest, silence Tibet or enforce territorial claims. Interestingly, China was furious at the US report—this is odd because on Tuesday they announced that they want stronger military ties with the US. The Chinese do have a few valid arguments: their defense spending is still miniscule compared to the US’s, and their army is poorly equipped and out of date.

But what is the Chinese government planning to do with an updated army? I doubt that they are going to become an imperialist power (at least in the near future), but I do believe they are going to use their newfound muscle to ensure that they secure controversial areas such as Tibet and their territories in the northwest, neither of which are culturally connected to Han China, and both of which have been craving separation for decades.

Next, I would like to talk about Israel. Last week some chilling reports about war crimes during the Gaza conflict were released, which stated that Israeli soldiers repeatedly murdered Palestinian civilians in Gaza City. I am not surprised at this news—as I stated previously, I have always believed that the war over Israel is a “total war,” even though it does not look like it. However, I believe there is another reason for these war crimes: right-wing generals and politicians (meaning Orthodox Jewish ones) have increased their influence in the military. In previous years, Israel’s army had mostly secular generals, but in the past decade these have been replaced with more religious ones. I suspect that this religious fervor is the reason for some of these war crimes, but this is pure speculation. All we know for sure is that the secular Israeli Army is a thing of the past, but the implications of this are not yet clear.

However, there is another recent development as far as Israel goes: today the Sudanese government reported that an air strike was carried out against a supposed Sudanese terrorist camp, killing a number of civilians. Outgoing Israeli Prime Minster Ehud Olmert neither denied nor confirmed this strike, but it is believed that Israel is responsible. My only response is this: what were they thinking? Does the Israeli military really believe that it can attack areas of sovereign nations without repercussions? This is most certainly not the road to peace. Though the Israelis were hunting terrorists, in order to better win the respect of the international community they must stop taking these sorts of matters into their own hands. Had they differed to the UN or even US before attacking, they would not have such a reputation as a troublemaker. In the future, we can only hope that this policy changes—but with religious zealots gradually taking control of the military, I doubt it will.  

Technology vs. overpopulation

I’ve said it many times before: the crisis that will come determine the survival of the human race is the overpopulation crisis. The Earth has a finite “carrying capacity,” which we are coming closer and closer to with each passing day. Experts predict that in 2030 the world population will be 8.3 billion, and we are going to see serious shortages of food, water, and energy. Unless we can somehow manage to figure out how to more efficiently manage our resources or find more efficient ways of obtaining the resources we need, these shortages may result in complete economic and social collapse, possibly even the death of our race. What scares me (and many other people) most is the fact that 2030, when we will really have to face this crisis, is only 20 years away. In two decades—the blink of an eye, really—we will be faced with a crisis that could have disastrous results if mishandled.

But, strangely, a few people are incredibly confident about the whole thing. Why? They hold that though population increasing exponentially, so is technology. Soon, these optimists hold, technologies will be available that can solve the population crisis and increase the Earth’s carrying capacity. But is this simply misguided optimism? After all, since WWI we have seen that technology is often the cause of many problems, not the solution. Besides, is 20 years really enough time to solve a problem of such scope?

My answer is a very definite “sort of.” I suspect that technology will soften the blow, especially because technologies that will help us will be promoted over the next 20 years as the threat of food riots and economic collapse looms overhead. But I doubt that technology will not come close to fully solving the problem, for technological reasons, social ones, and economic ones.

The technological reason is simple: there just isn’t enough time. Granted, technological increase is exponential. But can we really find an unlimited source of food, an easier method of desalination, cheap energy, and a solution to air pollution in a mere 20 years, let alone implement these ideas in time? In order to develop the necessary technology, lots and lost of government-sponsored research is needed—and let’s face it, with the economy less and less of that is happening. Even if there is a space race-like surge in research, there is no guarantee that it will pay off.

Next, remember that the technology not only has to be available, it has to be cheap. For example, mass exodus to a moon colony is possible but wildly impractical because of the exorbitant cost. The same can be said for concepts such as vertical farming (farming in buildings) or similar urban farming projects. Water desalination is also economically unfeasible—we have the facilities and technology to distill more than enough seawater to meet our needs, but we cannot do it cheaply enough to make it economically viable.

Lastly, there is a social dimension to this crisis that could hinder efforts to resolve it. For example, environmentalists are opposed to genetically manipulated crops, which could prevent their widespread use. This social dimension is hard to measure, but until the populace realizes how dire the situation is I believe it will hinder efforts to solve the crisis. 

The final word is this: the crisis is coming. Technology can help us, but it won’t solve all of our problems.